<\/p>\n<\/p>\n
As per exit polls, out of five states, results are a mixed bag with Congress expected to wrest Rajasthan and Chhattisgarh. The polls show the TRS retaining Telangana while the MNF is likely to spring back to retake Mizoram. The big fight in the state of Madhya Pradesh is likely to be inconclusive with neither the Congress nor BJP expected to obtain majority. All in all, the BJP appears to be the biggest loser if it cannot retain Madhya Pradesh, loses Rajasthan and Chhattisgarh. The party has been in power for 15 years in MP and Chhattisgarh, and voices of a vote for change were heard often during the campaign. The exit polls seemed to confirm the two-decade trend of Rajasthan voting out the incumbent government. The final outcome will have a significant impact on the 2019 Lok Sabha elections in these states where BJP had done exceedingly well in 2014. These trends promise a shot in the arm for Congress, which is BJP’s main political adversary at the national level. The Grand Old Party has not defeated BJP in a direct contest in any state election since 2014. The outcome will certainly adversely impact the party in the 2019 Lok Sabha election. If exit polls for five assemblies come true on December 11, the Congress is all set to have its resurgence since May 16, 2014 when it was reduced to 44 MPs in the Lok Sabha polls. The BJP, on the other hand, has to not just go back to the drawing table but will also have to buy a new one. Though Narendra Modi is still the most popular leader for the simple reason that he has is being projected as the only leader by the media and also for being a good orator; whether that alone can work wonders is doubtful. Besides Modi’s popularity, the BJP also has total sway over a pliable and scared media which dare not make things difficult for Modi as any criticism against him could bring unwanted consequences. True there is no other leader who comes close to Modi but that does not mean voters will continue to vote for the BJP because of Modi. The nearly five years under Modi has shown how the ‘Gujarat Model is tailor made for the inventor and driver. Be that as it may, the exit polls indicate that the BJP would be ruling in 11 states after December 11. Presently, the BJP is ruling in 12 states and heads coalitions in two states. The undercurrent of disenchantment within the BJP is a factor that can upset the Modi-Shah partnership. The other factors include failure to meet the impatient aspirations of voters and dismal performance of CMs either RSS men or handpicked leaders is already eating into the BJP’s base in states like Haryana, UP, Maharashtra, Goa. It’s worse in states like Maharashtra, where the Congress is back with the NCP. The exit polls speak numbers and probable trend. Even if exit polls turn right, one thing is clear, that the BJP is not going to be a pushover. This is so because BJP has a highly effective leadership hierarchy which Congress sees little need of and huge resources which Congress lacks. These are going to be crucial when the going gets tough.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Exiting on 2019<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[685],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-177859","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","category-editorial"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/nagalandpost.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/177859","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/nagalandpost.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/nagalandpost.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nagalandpost.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nagalandpost.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=177859"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/nagalandpost.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/177859\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/nagalandpost.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=177859"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nagalandpost.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=177859"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nagalandpost.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=177859"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}